Note: BR2 = Second biennial report. LULUCF = land use, land-use change and forestry. WCI = Western Climate Initiative. Baseline projections are presented in Canada`s second biennial report on climate change. For more information on projected emissions in 2030, see Chapter 5 of Canada`s Fourth Biennial Report. Source: Environment and Climate Change Canada (2020) Canada`s Fourth Biennial Report on Climate Change. Overall, Canada`s business sectorFootnote 2 is expected to reduce its emissions by 199 Mt CO2 equivalent in 2030 compared to what was projected in 2015. The clean fuel standard was announced in 2016 as part of the government`s overall climate plan to reduce emissions from fuels used in transportation, buildings and industry. The standard is expected to reduce emissions by 30 Mt per year from 2030.

The development and implementation of the standard has been slow and is now further delayed by the pandemic, although the 2022 launch date for liquid fuels remains unchanged and Canada is expected to reduce its emissions by approximately 11 Mt/year between 2021 and 2030. Although the loss of more than 10 Mt/year over a decade is not uncommon, it is often due to an unexpected event. German economic policy after reunification in 1990 contributed to a decline of about 20 Mt/year. The economic crisis of 2008 and the euro crisis led to a drop in Italian emissions of around 15 Mt/year. The economic recession of 2008, a decade of austerity and a rapid decarbonisation of the electricity sector between 2012 and 2017 led to a drop in UK emissions of around 19 Mt/year. As part of the 2015 Paris Agreement on Combating Global Warming, about 190 parties to the agreement committed to Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs) that outlined the steps they would take to keep the rise in global average temperature below 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Canada, the world`s 10th largest emitter of greenhouse gases in 2019, has committed to reducing its emissions from all sources by 30% by 2030 compared to 2005 levels. The challenge will be how it will do so, given its bad reputation for climate change and its unambitious reduction targets. Today, the Minister of Environment and Climate Change, the Honourable Jonathan Wilkinson, officially presented Canada`s expanded Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) to the United Nations, committing Canada to reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 40 to 45 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030. Canada has joined more than 120 countries in committing to net-zero emissions by 2050. Canada`s ambitious new NDC for 2030 keeps the country on track.

It builds on a whole-of-government plan, “Canada`s Strengthened Climate Plan: A Healthy Environment and a Healthy Economy,” which includes Canadians from all regions and sectors of the economy. Agriculture: Agricultural emissions are essentially unchanged between 2018 and 2030. Under the Paris Agreement, Canada committed to reducing its greenhouse gas emissions by 30% below 2005 levels by 2030. In 2019, the 2005 level was estimated at 730 Mt CO2 eq. Heavy industry: As in other countries, Canadian industry has been hit hard by the pandemic compared to previous economic declines. This is largely due to lower cross-border trade with the United States and lower business investment. Given the continued decline in emissions from 2020 to 2030, it appears that the climate plan assumes either a radical decarbonization of heavy industry or that parts of Canada`s heavy industry will cease operations if the country continues to transition to low-carbon industries. Former U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry, now Biden`s special envoy for climate change, tweeted that Canada`s new 2030 goals, along with actions taken by other rich countries, mean that half of the global economy has committed to making the necessary efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C. This section shows the contribution of each sector to the projected emission reductions in 2030. The modelling and analysis document also includes sectoral emissions, which are used to determine the evolution of emissions by sector for 2018, 2020 and 2030 (using the extended LULUCF). There are several possible reasons for these changes (see Figure 3).

He spoke virtually at a summit of world leaders convened by the United States. President Joe Biden to discuss the fight against climate change, Trudeau announced Thursday the new targets, which are four to nine percent above his current plan to reduce emissions by 36 percent by 2030. Historical greenhouse gas emissions and projections, Canada, 2005 to 2030 “We have the lowest carbon reduction target in the G7 for 2030,” Dale Marshall, manager of the National Climate Program, said in a statement. “Canada`s ambitious new emissions target for 2030, our Net Zero Emissions Accountability Act of Canada and our net-zero emissions target for 2050 are more than just climate action plans, no matter how necessary they may be. By rewarding innovation and imposing costs on pollution, we are paving the way for a cleaner, more competitive economy that benefits our children and grandchildren and leaves a healthier world for those who follow. This indicator allows the public and decision-makers to see Canada`s progress towards the 2030 target. While it`s welcome for Canada to raise its target, Abreu says it falls below the 60 percent reduction by 2030 that she and others say is needed for the country to do its part to limit global warming to 1.5°C. Canada`s emissions in 2018 were virtually the same as in 2005 (when the NDC was launched), meaning it needs to reduce its emissions by an average of 18.2 Mt/year, from 729 Mt in 2018 to 511 Mt in 2030. .